There are more than 800 cases of coronavirus in the United States and at least 28 people have died from it.
Mark Handley, a computer scientist and professor of Networked Systems and part-time Roboticist at UCL, shared a graph showing how the numbers of cases in other countries increase compared to Italy.
“Everyone else will be Italy in 9-14 days time,” he wrote on Twitter.
Dr. John Crane, a professor of medicine in the Jacobs School of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences at the University of Buffalo, also agreed.
In an interview with Daily Mail, he said that the world had never experienced anything like the coronavirus outbreak.
Referring to the data, he said: “It looks like they’re on the exact same trajectory. Italy had an 11.5 day head start.”
“When you have straight line on a long scale that signifies exponential growth,” Dr. Crane continued. “It’s not unusual at the beginning for an epidemic like this…when no human being on earth has previous exposure to it and no one has immunity to it.
“This doesn’t change the fatality rate just the growth rate- we’ve learned this virus is pretty contagious.
“This graph doesn’t say anything about the case fatality rate that might be around two percent but that’s still ten times higher than influenza and we have things we can do bout influenza, we don’t have a vaccine for this.”
In Italy, the situation became so bad doctors have reported crying and becoming overwhelmed as they cannot stop patients from dying. They are also forced to choose ‘who to save.’
He added: “We’re trying to learn from everyone else who’s just a little bit ahead of us.
“If Italy’s pace of infection, strict isolation policy… we’d predict that it would level off but we just don’t know how long that will take.
“We’re learning as we go.”
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